Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Gagner 47.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 82.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 57.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 65.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Jenner
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Jenner
Gagner
Last 9: Jenner 3-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
4
Jenner
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
45.4% (119)
+11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
50.0% (40)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
42.9% (21)
+8.6%
On even strength, Jenner has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jenner is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Jenner shoots left. Gagner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gagner
Home
57.8% (249)
49.0% (104)
Away
52.9% (297)
42.1% (76)
By Period
Jenner
Gagner
P1
51.8%
44.4%
P2
58.7%
44.6%
P3
56.2%
49.3%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |