Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 70.9%
Defensive zone
Jenner 69.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Jenner
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Jenner
Gagner
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
4
Jenner
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
45.4% (4,699)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
51.5% (928)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
35.0% (226)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gagner
Home
54.5% (4,051)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Jenner
Gagner
P1
53.7%
44.6%
P2
53.5%
46.1%
P3
54.4%
47.3%
OT
54.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |