Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.1% vs Couturier 53.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 80.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 57.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Jenner
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Jenner
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (326)
54.3% (845)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
62.5% (72)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
51.8% (249)
+1.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Jenner is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Jenner shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (741).
Home / Away
Jenner
Couturier
Home
52.1% (194)
51.1% (562)
Away
53.2% (186)
57.3% (604)
By Period
Jenner
Couturier
P1
50.8%
55.5%
P2
46.1%
54.4%
P3
59.2%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.3%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
60.0%▲
53.0%
52.6%
Couturier
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |