Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 32-27 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 56.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 50.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Jenner
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
27
(59 meetings)
32
27
Jenner
Couturier
Last 10: Jenner 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
8
11
Jenner
Couturier
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
15
10
Jenner
Couturier
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
6
Jenner
Couturier
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
52.5% (11,063)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
59.7% (1,280)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
48.5% (1,816)
-0.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Jenner
Couturier
Home
54.5% (4,051)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Jenner
Couturier
P1
53.7%
52.5%
P2
53.5%
52.6%
P3
54.4%
52.9%
OT
54.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 03:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |