Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Crosby 55.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 65.0%
Defensive zone
Jenner 74.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 68.7%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Jenner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jenner
Crosby
Last 5: Jenner 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Jenner
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Jenner
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (219)
53.5% (961)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
64.1% (237)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
64.3% (14)
-8.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jenner is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Jenner shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Jenner
Crosby
Home
51.0% (143)
56.4% (622)
Away
52.2% (115)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Jenner
Crosby
P1
53.6%
56.0%
P2
43.0%
52.6%
P3
56.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
58.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |