Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 60 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 80-64 in 144 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 72.9%
Neutral zone
Jenner 56.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Jenner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
80
(144 meetings)
64
80
Jenner
Crosby
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
22
38
Jenner
Crosby
60 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
21
15
Jenner
Crosby
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
21
27
Jenner
Crosby
48 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
57.4% (4,733)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
47.1% (765)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Jenner
Crosby
Home
54.5% (4,051)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Jenner
Crosby
P1
53.7%
53.6%
P2
53.5%
53.9%
P3
54.4%
53.3%
OT
54.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |