Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Lewis 44.3% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 61.1%
Defensive zone
Lewis 56.3%
Neutral zone
Lewis 61.7%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Jenner
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jenner
Lewis
Last 5: Jenner 2-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Jenner
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Jenner
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
41.8% (251)
+12.4%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
45.5% (11)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
44.7% (47)
+5.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Jenner is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (502).
Jenner shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lewis
Home
56.7% (693)
39.2% (166)
Away
52.7% (693)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Jenner
Lewis
P1
57.1%
45.2%
P2
54.1%
43.8%
P3
53.0%
37.8%
OT
61.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |