Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.4% vs Jost 40.8% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 59.1%
Defensive zone
Jost 66.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 71.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Jenner
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jenner
Jost
Last 6: Jenner 2-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Jenner
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Jenner
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (999)
41.8% (388)
+12.4%
Power Play
60.0% (240)
0.0% (3)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (147)
21.7% (60)
+28.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Jenner is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Jenner shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Jenner
Jost
Home
56.7% (693)
42.6% (230)
Away
52.7% (693)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Jenner
Jost
P1
57.1%
43.2%
P2
54.1%
38.2%
P3
53.0%
34.6%
OT
61.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.7%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |