Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.8% vs Rask 47.9% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 84.3%
Defensive zone
Rask 56.3%
Neutral zone
Rask 68.4%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Jenner
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Jenner
Rask
Last 8: Jenner 2-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jenner
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Jenner
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Jenner
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (923)
46.6% (397)
+7.7%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
58.1% (31)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (133)
50.0% (2)
+0.4%
On even strength, Jenner has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Jenner shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rask
Home
54.1% (575)
50.0% (202)
Away
54.1% (582)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Jenner
Rask
P1
54.1%
51.1%
P2
53.1%
43.2%
P3
54.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Victor Rask |