Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Rask 50.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 67.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 67.0%
Neutral zone
Rask 53.7%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Jenner
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Jenner
Rask
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
5
Jenner
Rask
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
4
Jenner
Rask
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Jenner
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
50.0% (4,428)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
54.3% (363)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
35.2% (54)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rask
Home
54.5% (4,051)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Jenner
Rask
P1
53.7%
50.7%
P2
53.5%
48.9%
P3
54.4%
50.7%
OT
54.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:59 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 05:00 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |