Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Backes 50.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 42-41 in 83 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 71.3%
Defensive zone
Gordon 84.3%
Neutral zone
Gordon 58.8%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Gordon
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
41
(83 meetings)
42
41
Gordon
Backes
Last 10: Gordon 4-6 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
10
23
Gordon
Backes
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
21
6
Gordon
Backes
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
11
12
Gordon
Backes
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
51.1% (5,772)
+7.3%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
50.8% (1,082)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
47.4% (930)
+5.1%
On power play, Gordon has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,127).
Home / Away
Gordon
Backes
Home
58.3% (3,125)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Gordon
Backes
P1
57.5%
50.1%
P2
56.8%
51.5%
P3
57.0%
50.8%
OT
40.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 19:50 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2014 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | David Backes |