Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.0% vs Arnott 50.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 55.1%
Defensive zone
Gordon 96.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 89.0%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Gordon
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gordon
Arnott
Last 5: Gordon 4-1 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Arnott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Gordon
Arnott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (514)
49.0% (777)
+9.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
58.1% (93)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (179)
30.0% (10)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Gordon is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Gordon shoots right. Arnott is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Gordon
Arnott
Home
57.7% (366)
51.1% (460)
Away
58.4% (353)
49.3% (434)
By Period
Gordon
Arnott
P1
59.3%
45.3%
P2
54.5%
54.2%
P3
60.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |