Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Arnott 50.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 55.3%
Defensive zone
Gordon 98.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 88.0%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Gordon
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Gordon
Arnott
Last 10: Gordon 7-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
1
Gordon
Arnott
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Arnott
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
2
Gordon
Arnott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
49.7% (1,444)
+8.7%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
53.8% (182)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
40.0% (15)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Gordon
Arnott
Home
58.3% (3,125)
52.1% (891)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Gordon
Arnott
P1
57.5%
46.1%
P2
56.8%
53.6%
P3
57.0%
50.1%
OT
40.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
59.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2012 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 6, 2012 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 16:07 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 02:03 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |