Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Gordon wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Pavelski 51.6% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Gordon 50.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 92.7%
Neutral zone
Gordon 79.2%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Gordon
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Gordon
Pavelski
Last 10: Gordon 6-4 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
5
Gordon
Pavelski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
10
1
Gordon
Pavelski
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
50.4% (480)
+7.4%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
51.5% (97)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
60.2% (83)
-6.1%
On power play, Gordon has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gordon is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Gordon shoots right. Pavelski is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Gordon
Pavelski
Home
60.3% (383)
53.1% (311)
Away
54.4% (406)
50.7% (349)
By Period
Gordon
Pavelski
P1
58.4%
55.4%
P2
56.9%
49.6%
P3
58.8%
51.7%
OT
23.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 13:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |