Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 36 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Pavelski 54.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 37-32 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 80.2%
Defensive zone
Gordon 85.5%
Neutral zone
Gordon 52.8%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Gordon
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
32
(69 meetings)
37
32
Gordon
Pavelski
Last 10: Gordon 4-6 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
23
Gordon
Pavelski
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
30
6
Gordon
Pavelski
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
3
Gordon
Pavelski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
53.6% (8,791)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
58.2% (2,122)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
50.9% (1,138)
+1.6%
On even strength, Gordon has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Gordon
Pavelski
Home
58.3% (3,125)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Gordon
Pavelski
P1
57.5%
53.5%
P2
56.8%
55.2%
P3
57.0%
53.9%
OT
40.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 09:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |