Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Pavelski 54.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 88.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 62.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 62.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Gordon
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gordon
Pavelski
Last 7: Gordon 2-5 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
5
Gordon
Pavelski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Pavelski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
53.6% (657)
+5.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.2% (221)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
51.7% (60)
+3.1%
On power play, Gordon has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Gordon is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Gordon shoots right. Pavelski is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Gordon
Pavelski
Home
60.5% (451)
57.4% (470)
Away
55.2% (458)
52.6% (468)
By Period
Gordon
Pavelski
P1
57.7%
53.4%
P2
55.5%
55.6%
P3
60.5%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
62.8%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |