Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Tavares 49.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 54.3%
Defensive zone
Gordon 96.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 93.3%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Gordon
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gordon
Tavares
Last 9: Gordon 7-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Gordon
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
6
0
Gordon
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
48.7% (871)
+10.8%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
49.8% (243)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
60.0% (15)
-14.9%
On power play, Gordon has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Tavares is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Gordon
Tavares
Home
58.7% (692)
50.0% (542)
Away
54.6% (800)
48.2% (587)
By Period
Gordon
Tavares
P1
57.4%
52.2%
P2
55.2%
50.0%
P3
57.8%
45.1%
OT
28.6%
48.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |