Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 31 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Tavares 54.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 38-26 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.8%
Defensive zone
Gordon 93.9%
Neutral zone
Gordon 64.6%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Gordon
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
26
(64 meetings)
38
26
Gordon
Tavares
Last 10: Gordon 5-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
20
Gordon
Tavares
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
28
3
Gordon
Tavares
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
6
3
Gordon
Tavares
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
54.0% (16,108)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
56.5% (4,283)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
50.6% (620)
+1.9%
On even strength, Gordon has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Gordon
Tavares
Home
58.3% (3,125)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Gordon
Tavares
P1
57.5%
55.0%
P2
56.8%
54.1%
P3
57.0%
54.1%
OT
40.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 10:15 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 01:11 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |