Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Shaw shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Shaw 45.5% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 55.4%
Defensive zone
Gordon 92.6%
Neutral zone
Gordon 71.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Gordon
Shaw
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gordon
Shaw
Last 5: Gordon 3-2 Shaw
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
1
Gordon
Shaw
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Shaw
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Shaw
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
46.4% (418)
+12.0%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
66.7% (6)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
35.4% (96)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shaw shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Shaw is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Gordon
Shaw
Home
58.3% (3,125)
46.2% (236)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
43.3% (284)
By Period
Gordon
Shaw
P1
57.5%
41.3%
P2
56.8%
46.4%
P3
57.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Shaw
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Logan Shaw |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |