Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 56.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 63.2%
Neutral zone
Gordon 50.5%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Gordon
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gordon
Gaustad
Last 9: Gordon 7-2 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Gordon
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
7
1
Gordon
Gaustad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
59.3% (913)
+0.2%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
72.2% (18)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
52.8% (269)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Gordon
Gaustad
Home
58.7% (692)
58.6% (604)
Away
54.6% (800)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Gordon
Gaustad
P1
57.4%
61.5%
P2
55.2%
55.7%
P3
57.8%
56.6%
OT
28.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |