Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.7%). Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 25-11 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Gordon 57.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 59.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 55.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Gordon
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
11
(36 meetings)
25
11
Gordon
Gaustad
Last 10: Gordon 9-1 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
9
6
Gordon
Gaustad
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
14
3
Gordon
Gaustad
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gordon
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
58.2% (4,334)
+0.2%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
65.4% (188)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
54.8% (1,290)
-2.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Gordon
Gaustad
Home
58.3% (3,125)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Gordon
Gaustad
P1
57.5%
58.2%
P2
56.8%
56.4%
P3
57.0%
58.3%
OT
40.3%
66.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 27, 2014 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 04:17 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |