Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 22-20 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 79.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 88.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 50.3%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Gordon
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
22
(42 meetings)
20
22
Gordon
Stastny
Last 10: Gordon 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
10
Gordon
Stastny
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
10
5
Gordon
Stastny
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
7
Gordon
Stastny
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
54.6% (10,616)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
59.1% (1,994)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
52.9% (1,119)
-0.4%
On even strength, Gordon has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Gordon
Stastny
Home
58.3% (3,125)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Gordon
Stastny
P1
57.5%
56.3%
P2
56.8%
55.4%
P3
57.0%
53.5%
OT
40.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 2 | 02:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 16:19 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:23 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |