Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kessel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Kessel 40.5% (+21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 78.4%
Defensive zone
Gordon 98.7%
Neutral zone
Gordon 95.0%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Gordon
Kessel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gordon
Kessel
Last 6: Gordon 5-1 Kessel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kessel
0
1
Gordon
Kessel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Kessel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Kessel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Kessel
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
34.4% (163)
+24.0%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
46.7% (30)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
25.0% (4)
+27.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kessel shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Kessel is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Gordon
Kessel
Home
58.3% (3,125)
35.4% (99)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
36.0% (100)
By Period
Gordon
Kessel
P1
57.5%
34.3%
P2
56.8%
32.9%
P3
57.0%
40.8%
OT
40.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Kessel
34.0%▼
35.7%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 6, 2010 | OT | 03:00 | Offensive | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 06:46 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 09:57 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |