Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 57.4%). Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Kesler 55.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 63.5%
Defensive zone
Gordon 76.8%
Neutral zone
Gordon 54.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Gordon
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Gordon
Kesler
Last 10: Gordon 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Gordon
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
0
Gordon
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
4
Gordon
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
57.6% (231)
+0.2%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
65.5% (29)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
51.2% (43)
+2.9%
On power play, Gordon has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Gordon is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Gordon shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Gordon
Kesler
Home
60.3% (383)
58.8% (114)
Away
54.4% (406)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Gordon
Kesler
P1
58.4%
60.8%
P2
56.9%
60.0%
P3
58.8%
52.5%
OT
23.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:36 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |