Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.0%). Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 37 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Kesler 55.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 45-40 in 85 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 66.6%
Defensive zone
Gordon 78.7%
Neutral zone
Gordon 51.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Gordon
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
40
(85 meetings)
45
40
Gordon
Kesler
Last 10: Gordon 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
15
Gordon
Kesler
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
28
9
Gordon
Kesler
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
16
Gordon
Kesler
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
56.4% (8,095)
+2.0%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
60.7% (1,437)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
50.5% (1,908)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Gordon
Kesler
Home
58.3% (3,125)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Gordon
Kesler
P1
57.5%
56.5%
P2
56.8%
55.9%
P3
57.0%
56.1%
OT
40.3%
46.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 00:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 3 | 16:53 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 18:51 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 14:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |