Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 68.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 85.6%
Neutral zone
Gordon 67.1%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Gordon
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gordon
O'Reilly
Last 7: Gordon 4-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
1
Gordon
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Gordon
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
51.5% (194)
+8.0%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
52.3% (107)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
51.4% (70)
-6.3%
On power play, Gordon has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Gordon
O'Reilly
Home
58.7% (692)
50.3% (185)
Away
54.6% (800)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Gordon
O'Reilly
P1
57.4%
51.0%
P2
55.2%
48.9%
P3
57.8%
53.3%
OT
28.6%
68.8%
Final 5 min
59.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |