Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.0%). Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 18 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 32-15 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 70.8%
Defensive zone
Gordon 91.0%
Neutral zone
Gordon 51.6%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Gordon
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
15
(47 meetings)
32
15
Gordon
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gordon 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
9
10
Gordon
O'Reilly
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
16
2
Gordon
O'Reilly
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
7
3
Gordon
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
56.2% (15,260)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
58.8% (3,445)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
51.4% (2,811)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Gordon
O'Reilly
Home
58.3% (3,125)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Gordon
O'Reilly
P1
57.5%
55.6%
P2
56.8%
57.0%
P3
57.0%
55.1%
OT
40.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
59.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |