Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Gordon wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gordon 82.4%
Neutral zone
Gordon 57.2%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Gordon
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Gordon
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gordon 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Gordon
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
7
0
Gordon
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
56.9% (1,203)
+2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.2% (329)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
50.4% (280)
+4.4%
On power play, Gordon has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gordon is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Gordon shoots right. O'Reilly is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Gordon
O'Reilly
Home
60.5% (451)
58.6% (879)
Away
55.2% (458)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Gordon
O'Reilly
P1
57.7%
55.6%
P2
55.5%
57.9%
P3
60.5%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
62.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |