Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Stamkos 49.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 92.0%
Neutral zone
Gordon 85.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Gordon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gordon
Stamkos
Last 6: Gordon 4-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Gordon
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
49.0% (433)
+10.5%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
54.3% (70)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
38.5% (26)
+6.6%
On power play, Gordon has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Gordon is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Gordon shoots right. Stamkos is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Gordon
Stamkos
Home
58.7% (692)
51.1% (327)
Away
54.6% (800)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Gordon
Stamkos
P1
57.4%
46.6%
P2
55.2%
51.5%
P3
57.8%
48.6%
OT
28.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
59.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |