Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 63.8%
Defensive zone
Gordon 94.7%
Neutral zone
Gordon 78.2%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Gordon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Gordon
Stamkos
Last 10: Gordon 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
9
Gordon
Stamkos
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
4
1
Gordon
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
8
2
Gordon
Stamkos
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
50.4% (9,799)
+8.0%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
55.1% (1,725)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
49.7% (825)
+2.8%
On even strength, Gordon has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Gordon
Stamkos
Home
58.3% (3,125)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Gordon
Stamkos
P1
57.5%
49.1%
P2
56.8%
52.7%
P3
57.0%
50.9%
OT
40.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 13:10 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |