Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 48.5%). Boyes wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brière shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Brière 48.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 53.9%
Defensive zone
Brière 51.3%
Neutral zone
Brière 55.2%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Boyes
Brière
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyes
Brière
Last 5: Boyes 2-3 Brière
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Brière
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Brière
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brière
0
1
Boyes
Brière
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Brière
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
47.6% (1,812)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
54.0% (309)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
52.9% (17)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brière shoots right. Boyes is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Boyes shoots right. Brière is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Boyes
Brière
Home
49.9% (419)
50.7% (1,092)
Away
45.5% (440)
46.2% (1,068)
By Period
Boyes
Brière
P1
50.4%
50.5%
P2
46.4%
45.9%
P3
44.8%
48.6%
OT
87.5%
54.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:11 | Neutral | Daniel Brière |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:10 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 14:18 | Offensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |