Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Tavares 54.4% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 50.2%
Defensive zone
Boyes 54.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.7%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Boyes
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Boyes
Tavares
Last 7: Boyes 3-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Boyes
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
54.0% (16,108)
-8.0%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
56.5% (4,283)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.6% (620)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Boyes
Tavares
Home
49.9% (419)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
45.5% (440)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Boyes
Tavares
P1
50.4%
55.0%
P2
46.4%
54.1%
P3
44.8%
54.1%
OT
87.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 00:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |