Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Staal 47.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 58.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 67.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Boyes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boyes
Staal
Last 6: Boyes 4-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
1
Boyes
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
47.6% (552)
-5.5%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
49.1% (110)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
37.8% (111)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Boyes has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. Staal is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Boyes
Staal
Home
45.7% (164)
49.8% (400)
Away
39.1% (156)
44.1% (401)
By Period
Boyes
Staal
P1
47.5%
53.7%
P2
39.5%
43.9%
P3
39.4%
43.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |