Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Boyes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyes 60.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Boyes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Boyes
Staal
Last 10: Boyes 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
3
2
Boyes
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Boyes
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
1
Boyes
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
55.9% (14,620)
-9.9%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
62.7% (1,745)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
48.0% (2,896)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Boyes
Staal
Home
49.9% (419)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
45.5% (440)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Boyes
Staal
P1
50.4%
55.2%
P2
46.4%
55.9%
P3
44.8%
54.9%
OT
87.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |