Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.6%). Look for Lombardi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Lombardi 48.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lombardi 50.7%
Neutral zone
Boyes 55.0%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Boyes
Lombardi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyes
Lombardi
Last 5: Boyes 3-2 Lombardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Lombardi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lombardi
1
2
Boyes
Lombardi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Lombardi
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
49.3% (489)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
39.6% (48)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
36.4% (33)
-3.1%
On power play, Boyes has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lombardi shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Lombardi is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Boyes
Lombardi
Home
49.9% (419)
47.4% (304)
Away
45.5% (440)
47.9% (267)
By Period
Boyes
Lombardi
P1
50.4%
49.0%
P2
46.4%
49.5%
P3
44.8%
44.0%
OT
87.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Lombardi
46.0%▲
43.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 14:06 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Matthew Lombardi |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |