Scouting Report
Brad Boyes holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Elias 42.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 58.6%
Defensive zone
Elias 72.8%
Neutral zone
Elias 55.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Boyes
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Boyes
Elias
Last 9: Boyes 4-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyes
Elias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
1
2
Boyes
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
42.3% (2,591)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
48.4% (405)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
36.0% (367)
-2.7%
On power play, Boyes has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Boyes
Elias
Home
49.9% (419)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.5% (440)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Boyes
Elias
P1
50.4%
41.1%
P2
46.4%
43.1%
P3
44.8%
43.0%
OT
87.5%
43.2%
Final 5 min
47.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 14, 2012 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |