Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malone 49.3% vs Smithson 54.5% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malone 75.2%
Defensive zone
Smithson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Malone 53.2%
Result
Brad Malone favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Malone
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malone
Smithson
Last 5: Malone 2-3 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malone
1
0
Malone
Smithson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
3
Malone
Smithson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malone
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (43)
55.5% (371)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
53.5% (99)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Malone has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Malone is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Malone shoots left. Smithson is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Malone
Smithson
Home
28.6% (14)
55.4% (249)
Away
56.3% (32)
55.5% (229)
By Period
Malone
Smithson
P1
33.3%
55.8%
P2
52.9%
52.6%
P3
57.1%
56.6%
Final 5 min
16.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
47.8%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Brad Malone |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Brad Malone |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |