Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Malone wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malone 52.2% vs Smithson 56.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malone 78.8%
Defensive zone
Smithson 63.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 52.3%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Malone
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malone
Smithson
Last 5: Malone 2-3 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malone
1
0
Malone
Smithson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
3
Malone
Smithson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malone
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (389)
58.4% (1,842)
-5.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
55.6% (45)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
50.6% (443)
+2.2%
On power play, Smithson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Malone is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Malone shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Malone
Smithson
Home
57.1% (161)
58.4% (1,195)
Away
50.2% (275)
55.0% (1,150)
By Period
Malone
Smithson
P1
55.5%
55.9%
P2
48.2%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
59.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
52.8%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Brad Malone |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Brad Malone |
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |