Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malone wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malone 47.7% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.8%
Defensive zone
Malone 60.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 54.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Malone
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malone
Bjugstad
Last 5: Malone 2-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malone
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Malone
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malone
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (65)
48.8% (467)
-4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.4% (58)
+46.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
60.0% (5)
-26.7%
On power play, Malone has a +46.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malone is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Malone shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Malone
Bjugstad
Home
42.9% (14)
49.0% (261)
Away
44.8% (58)
49.8% (269)
By Period
Malone
Bjugstad
P1
59.1%
50.9%
P2
26.9%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
47.2%
Final 5 min
35.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
44.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Brad Malone |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Brad Malone |