Scouting Report
Brad Malone holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Malone wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malone 52.2% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 63.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 62.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Malone
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Malone
Bjugstad
Last 8: Malone 3-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Malone
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Malone
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Malone
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malone
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (389)
48.6% (6,634)
+4.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
55.2% (829)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
44.3% (614)
+8.5%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Malone is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Malone shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
Malone
Bjugstad
Home
57.1% (161)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
50.2% (275)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
Malone
Bjugstad
P1
55.5%
49.0%
P2
48.2%
49.1%
P3
55.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
45.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
52.8%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 07:31 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Brad Malone |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Brad Malone |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Brad Malone |