Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchand wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.9% vs Dickinson 48.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 54.8%
Neutral zone
Marchand 62.7%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Marchand
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Marchand
Dickinson
Last 5: Marchand 0-5 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Marchand
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
3
Marchand
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
0
1
Marchand
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
29.7% (37)
48.6% (626)
-18.9%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
44.0% (25)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.2% (120)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Marchand is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Marchand shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Marchand
Dickinson
Home
43.3% (30)
45.4% (368)
Away
33.3% (27)
49.9% (403)
By Period
Marchand
Dickinson
P1
50.0%
49.2%
P2
45.0%
46.3%
P3
13.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.6%
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |