Scouting Report
Brad Marchand holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 25.0% vs left-shot opponents — Farabee shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 45.4% vs Farabee 37.4% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 54.9%
Defensive zone
Farabee 53.4%
Neutral zone
Farabee 51.5%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Marchand
Farabee
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Farabee
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (29)
27.5% (120)
+3.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
46.7% (15)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
12.5% (8)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Farabee shoots left. Marchand is 25.0% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Marchand shoots left. Farabee is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Home / Away
Marchand
Farabee
Home
42.1% (19)
28.1% (57)
Away
27.3% (22)
29.1% (86)
By Period
Marchand
Farabee
P1
31.6%
34.0%
P2
28.6%
23.4%
P3
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
16.7%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
34.1%
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
28.7%