Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Mills on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mills wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Campbell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 55.3% vs Campbell 50.1% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 86.6%
Defensive zone
Mills 73.8%
Neutral zone
Mills 74.3%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Mills
Campbell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Mills
Campbell
Last 6: Mills 4-2 Campbell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
3
0
Mills
Campbell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Campbell
1
2
Mills
Campbell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Campbell
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (126)
50.7% (3,122)
+6.4%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
47.1% (68)
+52.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
46.9% (580)
+9.1%
On power play, Mills has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Campbell shoots left. Mills is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mills shoots right. Campbell is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,326).
Home / Away
Mills
Campbell
Home
63.9% (83)
51.5% (1,876)
Away
52.7% (74)
48.6% (1,898)
By Period
Mills
Campbell
P1
54.3%
50.0%
P2
58.1%
50.5%
P3
63.3%
49.8%
Final 5 min
61.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
58.6%
Campbell
46.0%▼
51.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 02:21 | Neutral | Brad Mills |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 14:28 | Neutral | Gregory Campbell |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Brad Mills |