Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 49.1%). Look for Little on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Little 49.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Little leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 77.7%
Defensive zone
Little 57.6%
Neutral zone
Little 55.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Richards
Little
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Richards
Little
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
1
2
Richards
Little
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Richards
Little
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
0
3
Richards
Little
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Little
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
49.5% (1,128)
-0.5%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
55.1% (216)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
41.1% (207)
-1.1%
On power play, Little has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Richards is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Richards shoots left. Little is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Richards
Little
Home
49.8% (424)
54.1% (756)
Away
46.9% (401)
44.4% (795)
By Period
Richards
Little
P1
51.3%
49.5%
P2
44.8%
50.2%
P3
49.2%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |