Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.7%). Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Little 50.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 40-33 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 68.9%
Defensive zone
Little 66.8%
Neutral zone
Little 56.2%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Richards
Little
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
33
(73 meetings)
40
33
Richards
Little
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
15
4
Richards
Little
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
13
14
Richards
Little
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
12
15
Richards
Little
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Little
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
50.9% (8,646)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
55.5% (1,593)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
43.5% (1,406)
-2.2%
On power play, Little has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Little is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (7,844).
Home / Away
Richards
Little
Home
51.1% (2,671)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Richards
Little
P1
49.6%
50.9%
P2
50.3%
49.6%
P3
51.0%
51.5%
OT
50.6%
49.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:06 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |