Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.7% vs McDavid 42.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 58.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 71.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 55.0%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Richards
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
McDavid
Last 5: Richards 2-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Richards
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Richards
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (218)
40.7% (578)
+6.5%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
56.3% (16)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.0% (10)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Richards is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Richards shoots left. McDavid is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Richards
McDavid
Home
52.0% (123)
42.7% (323)
Away
47.2% (127)
39.5% (281)
By Period
Richards
McDavid
P1
56.3%
42.3%
P2
42.0%
37.3%
P3
50.6%
43.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.6%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |