Brad Richards vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 56.7%
Defensive zone
McDavid 63.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Richards
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Richards
McDavid
Last 5: Richards 2-3 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Richards
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
2
Richards
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
47.7% (8,358)
+2.7%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
52.0% (371)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
43.4% (279)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Richards
McDavid
Home
51.1% (2,671)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Richards
McDavid
P1
49.6%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
48.7%
P3
51.0%
48.3%
OT
50.6%
40.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:57 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |