Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Stoll 55.0% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 92.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 59.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 81.6%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Richards
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
18
(30 meetings)
12
18
Richards
Stoll
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
8
6
Richards
Stoll
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
10
Richards
Stoll
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Richards
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
56.0% (4,886)
-5.6%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
56.5% (496)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
50.7% (1,087)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
Richards
Stoll
Home
51.1% (2,671)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Richards
Stoll
P1
49.6%
54.2%
P2
50.3%
55.8%
P3
51.0%
55.3%
OT
50.6%
52.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 28, 2015 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 28, 2015 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Oct 7, 2011 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |