Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Vitale 55.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 60.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 79.2%
Neutral zone
Vitale 53.7%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Richards
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Richards
Vitale
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
2
Richards
Vitale
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
2
4
Richards
Vitale
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
2
Richards
Vitale
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
55.9% (646)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
100.0% (12)
-47.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
47.5% (61)
+3.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Richards
Vitale
Home
52.2% (668)
56.9% (383)
Away
51.4% (648)
54.4% (340)
By Period
Richards
Vitale
P1
50.1%
51.5%
P2
52.4%
58.2%
P3
52.9%
56.8%
OT
52.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Brad Richards |