Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Richards wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Vitale 54.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 82.7%
Defensive zone
Vitale 80.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 56.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Richards
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Richards
Vitale
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
10
3
Richards
Vitale
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
3
7
Richards
Vitale
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Richards
Vitale
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
55.9% (1,771)
-5.5%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
76.0% (25)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
47.1% (297)
-5.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Richards is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,806).
Richards shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Home / Away
Richards
Vitale
Home
51.1% (2,671)
56.1% (1,050)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
53.5% (1,048)
By Period
Richards
Vitale
P1
49.6%
52.9%
P2
50.3%
53.8%
P3
51.0%
57.5%
OT
50.6%
72.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 3, 2014 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Brad Richards |